BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fitchburg St
Class: 3 Class Rank: 223 Overall: (2-8) Overall Strength = 23.89
Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (1-8) | District: 3-01 Record: (2-8)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/07/2024 Away W * 14.43 12 0 3 237 ( 0- 9) Dean -5.24 -3.13 17.24
2 09/14/2024 Home L * * 4.17 7 73 3 51 (10- 0) UMass-Dartmouth -15.50 * -24.52 -50.50
3 09/21/2024 Home L * * 16.86 14 20 3 216 ( 3- 7) Worcester St -2.82 -14.59 -3.18
4 09/28/2024 Away L * * 1.47 0 72 3 65 ( 9- 2) Western Conn St -18.20 * -47.60 -53.80
5 10/05/2024 Away L * * 18.58 22 25 3 225 ( 3- 7) Framingham St -1.09 17.57 -1.91
6 10/19/2024 Home L * * 18.02 3 21 3 183 ( 5- 5) Mass Maritime -1.65 -26.89 -16.35
7 10/26/2024 Home W * * 43.13 26 6 3 222 ( 3- 7) Castleton 23.45 -14.20 -3.45
8 11/02/2024 Away L * * 33.01 9 17 3 179 ( 5- 5) Bridgewater St MA 13.33 -17.07 -21.33
9 11/09/2024 Home L * * 31.65 21 26 3 195 ( 5- 4) Plymouth St 11.98 -10.41 -16.98
10 11/16/2024 Away L * * 15.42 7 22 3 221 ( 4- 6) Westfield St -4.26 -1.57 -10.74
Averages 19.67 12.1 28.2
Best game: 43.13 = 20 point win over Castleton
Worst game: 1.47 = 72 point loss to Western Conn St
Team stdev: 12.91